Driver-by-driver track history breakdown for Kansas Speedway. Full-field data, loop stats, and model signals for the AdventHealth 400.
| Driver | Pos | Tier | Profile |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Reddick | 1 | FADE RISK | Tyler Reddick has won 4 of the first 8 races in 2026. He leads the championship by 62 points. He has never finished better than 7th at Kansas Speedway in his last 4 starts here, and his average runnin… |
| Ryan Blaney | 2 | CONTENDER | Ryan Blaney's Kansas resume has a story arc. Spring 2024 was a disaster — he started from the pole and finished 16th, running like a 17th-place car all day. Then three genuinely strong performances fo… |
| Denny Hamlin | 3 | CONTENDER | Kansas Speedway is where Denny Hamlin made his first Cup Series start in 2005 — an audition for the seat he still holds today. Twenty years later, he owns more wins at this track than anyone who has e… |
| Ty Gibbs | 4 | FADE RISK | Ty Gibbs just won at Bristol for his first career Cup victory. He is currently running the best racing of his life. None of that changes what the Kansas loop data says, and the Kansas loop data says t… |
| Chase Elliott | 5 | CONTENDER | Chase Elliott won the fall 2025 Kansas race. He didn't just win it — he door-shotted his team owner on the final corner to do it. On a track where Denny Hamlin had dominated 159 laps. With fresher tir… |
| Kyle Larson | 6 | CONTENDER | Kyle Larson has a won-lost record at Kansas that resembles what he does everywhere: when the setup is right, nobody on the planet is beating him. Spring 2024: won, avg 2.76, led 63 laps. Spring 2025: … |
| William Byron | 7 | SLEEPER | William Byron's Kansas history is a story of a driver and a car that are currently far better than the track record suggests. His Spring 2024 result was a 23rd from 36th — compromised from the start. … |
| Bubba Wallace | 8 | CONTENDER | Bubba Wallace won at Kansas Speedway. He did it in the fall 2022 race driving the 45 car in place of Kurt Busch. That win matters because it confirmed the capability — he knows how to get around this … |
| Christopher Bell | 9 | CONTENDER | The most consistent Kansas driver in the field over the last four races is not Denny Hamlin. It is Christopher Bell. Four straight races with an average running position under 7.57. Every single one. … |
| Chris Buescher | 10 | SLEEPER | Chris Buescher led 54 laps at Kansas in the spring 2024 race. He started 12th, got to 1st at the midpoint, led for a genuine stretch of the race, and finished 2nd. That's not a stats quirk. That's a d… |
| Brad Keselowski | 11 | FIELD | Brad Keselowski's Kansas resume is one of the most volatile in the field. Spring 2024: 11th from 30th, avg 16.24, led 1 lap — a reasonable result from deep in the field. Fall 2024: 22nd, avg 15.56, le… |
| Joey Logano | 12 | FIELD | Joey Logano's Kansas history in this stretch is a story of a driver who can survive and salvage results but has not been a genuine front-running force. His best recent Kansas result is a 9th in the sp… |
| Carson Hocevar | 13 | FIELD | Carson Hocevar is one of the more interesting middle-of-field cases at Kansas. His average running position numbers (14.26, 18.08, 12.10, 14.10) are consistently better than his finishing positions (2… |
| Ryan Preece | 14 | FIELD | Ryan Preece's Kansas history is a genuine paradox. His spring 2025 result — 7th from 30th, avg 9.37 — was one of the best drives of that entire race weekend. He drove through 23 cars at a 1.5-mile int… |
| Daniel Suarez | 15 | FIELD | Daniel Suarez's Kansas record over the last 4 starts includes 2 results outside the top 30 and 2 results in the mid-teens. The fall 2025 race produced 17th from 30th (avg 27.24) — he led 6 laps on str… |
| Shane Van Gisbergen | 16 | LONG SHOT | Shane Van Gisbergen has two Kansas Cup starts. Full stop. There is no established pattern to read from, no four-race history to extrapolate, and no deep understanding of how his car would set up here … |
| Chase Briscoe | 17 | SLEEPER | Chase Briscoe finished 4th at Kansas in both 2025 races. Not once — twice. Back to back. In a race where JGR Toyota dominated with Hamlin and Bell leading the lap counts, Briscoe was 3rd and 4th in th… |
| Austin Cindric | 18 | FIELD | Austin Cindric's Kansas record over 4 starts is uniformly difficult to read positively. Spring 2024: 37th, accident, avg 21.0. Fall 2024: 34th, avg 22.57. Spring 2025: 11th, avg 15.17. Fall 2025: 30th… |
| Michael McDowell | 19 | FIELD | Michael McDowell's Kansas best result in this stretch is a 10th place in spring 2024 — started 8th, avg 13.19, which is a solid if unspectacular run from the front row. Every other start: 14th fall 20… |
| AJ Allmendinger | 20 | FIELD | AJ Allmendinger's last two Kansas starts were both disasters: a 36th from an accident in fall 2025 and a 38th from an engine failure in spring 2025. His two starts before that — 30th and 14th in 2023 … |
| Ross Chastain | 21 | BOUNCE-BACK | Ross Chastain won at Kansas. Fall 2024. Started 20th, avg 8.46, led 52 laps, won the race. That is a real result from a real car. He followed it up in spring 2024 by leading 43 laps from 2nd starting … |
| Zane Smith | 22 | FIELD | Zane Smith's Kansas profile shows a driver and car that have occasionally punched above their FRM equipment weight. His best result in this stretch is a 10th in fall 2024 — avg 14.52, led 3 laps, a ge… |
| Erik Jones | 23 | FIELD | Erik Jones produced a 3rd-place finish at Kansas in fall 2023. That result — avg 9.43, finished 3rd from 19th — is the most surprising outlier in this entire board. Legacy Motor Club does not regularl… |
| Kyle Busch | 24 | FIELD | Kyle Busch's Kansas profile features one elite result in this window that sits uncomfortably next to three disappointing ones. Spring 2024: started 5th, avg 5.28, led 14 laps, finished 8th. That is a … |
| Josh Berry | 25 | FIELD | Josh Berry's Kansas profile is one of the most inconsistent in the field. His best result: 6th place spring 2025, starting 38th. That's a 32-position gain — one of the most impressive single-race driv… |
| Todd Gilliland | 26 | FIELD | Todd Gilliland's Kansas record over 4 starts is defined by two things: he consistently starts in the teens and runs worse than he starts, and his finishes range from 12th to 27th. His spring 2024 resu… |
| Austin Dillon | 27 | FIELD | Austin Dillon's Kansas results produce a clear picture: a car that runs in the low-20s to upper-20s range, occasionally catches a caution and finishes 12th, but is never a genuine front-running threat… |
| John Hunter Nemechek | 28 | FIELD | John Hunter Nemechek's Kansas history shows a car that occasionally produces surprising mid-race results before fading or getting collected. His spring 2025 result of 10th from 17th (avg 24.05) looks … |
| Riley Herbst | 29 | FIELD | Riley Herbst has three Kansas Cup starts in this data set, all unremarkable: 35th spring 2024 (avg 36.39), 27th spring 2025 (avg 29.52), 22nd fall 2025 (avg 29.07). His best Kansas finish is 22nd. His… |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 30 | FIELD | Ricky Stenhouse Jr.'s Kansas record over 4 starts features exactly one result above 19th: his spring 2024 16th from 21st (avg 19.12). Every other start is 19th, 23rd, or 35th. His best average running… |
| Noah Gragson | 31 | LONG SHOT | Noah Gragson's best Kansas result of the last 4 starts is remarkable and almost certainly misleading: 9th place spring 2024, starting 3rd, avg 9.76. That is the kind of result that signals genuine fro… |
| Ty Dillon | 32 | BOTTOM OF FIELD | Ty Dillon's Kansas data over 4 starts features exactly one result above 21st: 13th in fall 2025, which came with an avg running position of 24.82 — one of the widest gaps between avg and finish in the… |
| Connor Zilisch | 33 | WATCH | Connor Zilisch has no Kansas Cup data. Full stop. There is no loop data, no track history, no comparable record at this specific 1.5-mile intermediate. What exists: a Las Vegas result of 32nd from 25t… |
| Cole Custer | 34 | BOTTOM OF FIELD | Cole Custer's Kansas data over 4 starts is uniformly poor: fall 2025 20th (avg 28.34), spring 2025 25th (avg 28.14), fall 2023 24th (avg 27.20), fall 2022 22nd (avg 21.47). His best avg running positi… |
| Cody Ware | 35 | BOTTOM OF FIELD | Cody Ware's Kansas record is the most straightforward entry on this board: avg running positions of 34.99, 35.08, 27.39, and 33.67. His best result in 4 starts is 27th. His Las Vegas 2026 result was 3… |
| Alex Bowman | 36 | WATCH — RETURN FROM INJURY | Alex Bowman missed multiple races in 2026 due to vertigo symptoms, with Justin Allgaier subbing in his #48. He returned at Bristol last weekend and is confirmed in the entry list for Kansas. This is h… |
| Justin Allgaier | 37 | WATCH — NO KANSAS CUP HISTORY | Justin Allgaier has no Kansas Cup history in the current data set. He is a veteran NASCAR Xfinity Series driver — he finished 4th in the Xfinity race at Bristol this past Saturday — making Cup starts … |