Yes, two of them are chalk. No, we don't care. Hill at +350. Love at +475. Sammy Smith top 5 at +300. Carson Kvapil top 5 at +275. Blaine Perkins top 5 at +1200 — the dart.
— Yes, Two of Them Are Chalk. No, We Don't Care. By PitByNumbers Staff 6 min read KEY TAKEAWAYS • Let's get the obvious thing out of the way first.
Austin Hill and Jesse Love are short. You already know that. Hill is +350 on BetRivers.
Love is +475. In a sport where superspeedway chaos is the product — where the last pole-sitter to win this specific race was Justin Haley in 2020 — those prices feel uncomfortable. But here is the thing about RCR's superspeedway pair: they have genuinely earned every bit of the chalk.
Hill holds the all-time O'Reilly Series record for drafting-track wins with 11 — a number that broke a tie with Dale Earnhardt Sr. and Tony Stewart. Love has not finished outside the top 10 in four career Talladega starts and has led 125 laps in those four races.
The data is not suggesting these two are the best. It is screaming it. So yes, two of these five bets are going to feel boring at first glance.
Play them anyway. The other three will not feel boring at all. Green flag: 4:05 PM ET Saturday April 25.
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